Super Bowl 53 – The old guard meets their latest challenger
The Los Angeles Rams escaped New Orleans like bandits after a controversial 26-23 overtime win over the Saints. And though they needed the luck or a horrendous officiating blunder, that broke the hearts of many online bettors, the dirty little secret of last weekend’s game was that they were actually the better team for the final 3 quarters.
The Patriots were able to survive the NFL MVP in Patrick Mahomes and exploit a historically bad defense in a 37-31 overtime win. It’s the first time that the Superbowl representatives won a road playoff game since 2012. And now both teams get the honor of playing for the Lombardi trophy on February 3rd.
Superbowl 53 Preview and Prediction
Will Brady and Belichek get ring number 6 or will they fall in the final game of the season two years in a row?
Here is the game the Rams play on offense; they line up 3 wide receivers, 1 tight end and 1 running back almost the entire game. If you play Nickel, then they run the ball. If you play base, then they know they can get a wide receiver or running back one on one with a linebacker in space. It’s both simplistic yet complex and brilliant, and the reason that all NFL franchises are looking for the next Sean Mcvay.
The Patriots were able to take away Tyreke Hill and Travis Kelce for the most part in the AFC Championship, BUT running back Damien Williams found himself the beneficiary catching 2 touchdown passes and was wide open for another one but was missed by Mahomes. This is the type of mismatch that the Rams scheme is designed to exploit.
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On the other side of the ball, it comes down to how well the Pats can stay out of 3rd and long. In their OT win last week at Arrowhead Tom Brady was able to convert long third down after long third down and all in all the Pats went 13-19 on third down. They dominated time of possession and kept the best offense in the league off the field.
And the key to all of this is keeping Tom Brady upright. In 2 postseason games against the Chargers and Chiefs, two of the better pass rushing teams in the NFL, the Patriots have not allowed a single sack. That offensive line is good and capable of winning them a Championship.
Enter reigning NFL defensive MVP Aaron Donald and his partner on the interior Ndamukong Suh. Whoever wins this matchup wins the Superbowl in my opinion. Will Donald and Suh wreck the game or will Tom Brady have enough time to pick apart the Rams back end?
With Superbowl odds this low it really feels like a pickem. Not many people get rich off fading the Patriots, however New England is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Super Bowl games. This Rams team has been the cream of the crop all season, and I think the young hot shots, Mcvay and Goff will rule the day.
PICK: RAMS +2.5 (-110) on WILLIAM HILL
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