UFC 253 comes packed with fireworks from both inside the octagon and the betting lines as middleweight king Israel Adesanya settles his grudge with the unbeaten destroyer, Paulo Costa. Both fighters are explosive strikers and with ill will all but guaranteeing heated exchanges. Co-headlining are red-hot fighters Dominick Reyes and Jan Blachowicz facing off for the vacant light heavyweight title. Let’s break down these fights and see which bets we can cash.
UFC 252: bank on Cormier and these three bets you can’t miss
The title of “greatest heavyweight of all time” hangs in the balance when Stipe Miocic meets Daniel Cormier in their trilogy match for the heavyweight title for UFC 252. Betting odds indicate an even matchup although Cormier should be the favourite on this spot. Outside of this epic affair, we have a bevy of juicy matchups including some live underdogs, unmissable prop bets, and two rising contenders who you should parlay.
The title of “greatest heavyweight of all time” hangs in the balance when Stipe Miocic meets Daniel Cormier in their trilogy match for the heavyweight title for UFC 252.
These are the betting odds for the main fights (via SportsInteraction (SIA):
|Fighter #1||Fighter #2|
Junior dos Santos
Betting odds indicate an even matchup although Cormier should be the favourite on this spot. Outside of this epic affair, we have a bevy of juicy matchups including some live underdogs, unmissable prop bets, and two rising contenders who you should parlay.
UFC 252 betting stats
- Cormier opened at 2.00 and has been bet down to 1.87
- Miocic opened at 1.77 and has been bet up to 1.87
- Sean O’Malley opened as a favourite with the highest odds since his debut fight (2017)
- Vera is 2-3 when he opens as an underdog
- Rozenstruik is 3-0 when he opens as a favourite
Cormier should be the favourite per UFC 252 odds
Cormier was finished by Miocic, only his second TKO loss in his career, in their rematch last summer but it was a fight he was winning until that point. Miocic became only the second fighter after Jon Jones to hand the two-division champion a loss in MMA.
In their first bout, Cormier upset Miocic by knocking him out in just four minutes. Cormier’s durability and dual-threat of punching power and relentless wrestling give him an edge over Miocic, who also shares similar credentials.
Miocic has the advantage of his reach and arguably with his stamina. He was able to outlast Cormier in their rematch by knocking him out in the fourth round with a flurry of punches. Cormier was waning and Miocic took advantage.
In this trilogy bout, expect Cormier to better manage his gas tank and find ways to cut into Miocic’s range without taxing himself. He still possesses the advantage in his power, strength, and durability. Cormier should put Miocic away at some point; Prediction: Cormier by T/KO
Bonus bet: Cormier to win inside the distance is at 2.40. This is more than likely how Cormier is going to win with the combination of their fast pace and heavy hands. If you’re siding with DC, put a little bit on this prop bet.
UFC 252: best bets on underdogs, props, and parlays
Best underdog bet: John Dodson to win at 2.50
Dodson is criminally underrated in this spot. Yes, the former contender is in the downswing of his career but he can still crack. Since moving to bantamweight, Dodson is only 4-4 although all his losses have come against contenders: Petr Yan and Marlon Moraes to name a few.
Merab Dvalishvili is an upcoming contender and has won four straight fights since dropping his first two. He is tough and powerful with a background in sambo. However, Dodson is a step up in competition as he’s only beaten unranked fighters and all by decision.
Dvalishvili is the likely winner here but this is a dog or pass. Put a little bit on Dodson to make this fight close enough to “steal” a decision away.
Best prop bet/s: Dos Santos versus Rozenstruik to not go to decision at 1.37
As a rule of thumb, heavyweight fights either end quickly or go sluggishly to a decision. When Dos Santos and Rozenstruik collide, the former will be the case.
Rozenstruik has not gone to a decision in the UFC and dos Santos’s last four fights all ended by a finish. There may be some concern as Rozenstruik is coming from a devastating knockout loss to Ngannou while dos Santos has not had the explosiveness he’s had before.
But “power is the last thing to go” and these two heavyweights love to throw bombs. Even if they are both tentative to start the fight, all it takes is one good shot to end it.
The best parlay bet: Sean O’Malley (1.30) and Herbert Burns (1.35) to win at 1.76
In our UFC 250 article, we faded “Suga” Sean against the wily veteran Eddie Wineland and he proved us wrong emphatically. We’re not doubting O’Malley any longer. Marlon Vera is a tailor-made fight for him: loves to stand and trade, not much wrestling, and is not a knockout threat. O’Malley should win his fight with little issues.
Up a weight division, we have Herbert Burns, Gilbert Burns’s younger brother, taking on Daniel Pineda. Burns is a buzzsaw and has torn through the opposition. Pineda is a live dog here and is better than his 3.05 price tag. But this is a matchup made for Burns as he is better everywhere. Barring “getting caught”, Burns should steamroll through this fight.
Parlay both O’Malley and Burns. This can be your anchor bet for the night. If you’re feeling anxious, you can try hedging on Pineda when his odds start to climb higher than 3.05 and possibly up to 3.50.
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