UFC 253 comes packed with fireworks from both inside the octagon and the betting lines as middleweight king Israel Adesanya settles his grudge with the unbeaten destroyer, Paulo Costa. Both fighters are explosive strikers and with ill will all but guaranteeing heated exchanges. Co-headlining are red-hot fighters Dominick Reyes and Jan Blachowicz facing off for the vacant light heavyweight title. Let's break down these fights and see which bets we can cash.
How to Find Value on Super Bowl LI Props
Super Bowl prop betting is arguably more popular than betting on the game itself, as fans and recreational bettors can get action down on almost anything during the game. Whether it's the specialty props like how long the anthem will be? or what will the first song played by the halftime performer? to all the statistical props offered on the players in the contest, there is a little something for everyone. But with so many options available, how does a bettor spot value on Super Bowl props and know which ones to attack and which ones to skim over?
Super Bowl LI Prop Betting Tips
Fiding value and making Super Bowl prop betting a profitable endeavor can be tough. The best general advice out there is to stick to what you know and not go overboard with your bankroll making plays. If you are a stats guy and/or a strong fantasy football player, sticking to individual player performances (total yards running/receiving etc) is the best place to start because those are things you've been tracking and had success with all year.
As much hype as the Super Bowl gets, it's still just another 60-minute football game between two very good teams that have strengths and weaknesses. Discovering which players on the field can exploit the specific matchups will help you with your prop selection.
Secondly, don't go crazy with max wagers or getting action down on 20+ props just because it's the Super Bowl. If your betting style can tend to be that of an "action junkie," and you'll be watching the Super Bowl with a large group of friends, there are other ways to fulfill your action itch without it costing you too much. Make up a prop sheet of your own (you can take X amount of props offered at any sportsbook), ask anyone who would like to get involved and pick them all.
Attach some nominal entry fee to the selections, and the person with the most correct takes the pot, or the top three win prizes etc.
This allows you to cheer for nearly every play of the game, the pre-game coin toss results, the halftime show and the like, without severely wounding your personal betting bankroll. Obviously for the few props you've isolated as your best bets, by all means bet them individually at your online sportsbook, but prop bets are meant more as entertainment and should be treated that way.
Finally, trust yourself and your handicapping homework over everything else. With hundreds of props, there is plenty of value out there in the end. Don't be afraid to take plus-money options on big name players to underperform who you believe have a tough matchup - after all, the other team is quite good to make it to the Super Bowl too - or lesser known guys to come up big. Almost every Super Bowl has had some key play where a guy nobody expected to produce in that situation step up and it happens year after year.
Super Bowl Props Strategy
In the end, remind yourself that NFL prop bets are a one-time thing and there is no need to spoil a great year of handicapping (and profits) because there are hundreds of options available to you. Think about Super Bowl prop betting like going out to dinner.A restaurant may have 50 different entrees that all sound appealing, but you know there is no way your stomach (in this case your bankroll) can come close to handling them all. Do you do diligence in the
A restaurant may have 50 different entrees that all sound appealing, but you know there is no way your stomach (in this case your bankroll) can come close to handling them all. Do you do diligence in the decision-making process and stick to the three or four prop bets (ie dinner courses) you know you can handle and live with the results.
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