UFC 253 comes packed with fireworks from both inside the octagon and the betting lines as middleweight king Israel Adesanya settles his grudge with the unbeaten destroyer, Paulo Costa. Both fighters are explosive strikers and with ill will all but guaranteeing heated exchanges. Co-headlining are red-hot fighters Dominick Reyes and Jan Blachowicz facing off for the vacant light heavyweight title. Let's break down these fights and see which bets we can cash.
UFC 240: Betting Preview and Picks
Online Betting Canada has prepared a comprehensive betting preview for UFC 240. On Saturday July 27th, from Edmonton, Alberta two of the greatest MMA fighters of all time are coming losses and looking to return to the win column.
UFC 240 Odds are currently available with the two headliners, Cris "Cyborg" as a 6/1 favorite and Max Holloway as a 4/1 favorite over another UFC legend.
UFC 240: Preview and Picks
Max Holloway vs Frankie Edgar
Max Holloway tried to create history by going up to the 155 division and becoming 'Champ Champ' in his last bout at UFC 236 when he was unsuccessful in a unanimous decision loss to Dustin Poirier.
But you can not fault the bold decision by Max to do so as he had already staked his claim as the greatest 145 lb fighter of all time after reeeling off 13 straight wins in the division.
But this Saturday, Max "Blessed" Holloway returns not only to his best weight, but to Canada, a home away from home when he takes on another MMA all time great in Frankie "the Answer" Edgar.
In terms of fighting styles, for Edgar, who is a +300 underdog , he needs to get this fight to the ground. Over the course of their careers Holloway has landed 6.93 strikes per minute to Edgar's 3.59.
Holloway is just the overall better and busier striker. However, Edgar averages 2.47 takedowns per 15 minutes to Holloway's 0.29.
So the formula for Edgar would be to get on top of Holloway and win based on control time, but this is much easier said than done.
Even in Poirier's win over Holloway at UFC 236, Poirier was only successful on 1 of his 8 take down attempts and wound up with less than 2 minutes of control time.
So with this I see more of chess match breaking out where Edgar will attempt his fair share of take downs but not complete as many of them as he would like.
Conversely, Holloway won't be able to square off against Edgar in a gun fight in the centre of the octagon as much as he would like with both guys ultimately seeing who can outscore the other in brief moments.
I think Holloway outscores him in the stand up but will not finish Edgar who is 10 years his senior.
PICK: UFC betting odds list the current champ at a very high price, so to extract value from a -400 favorite we recommend you take Holloway by decision, line TBA.
See below the top sportsbooks where you can wager online and choose the best one for you:
Cris Cyborg vs Felicia Spencer
In the co main event, Canadian submission artist Felicia "FeeNom" Spencer gets the opportunity of a lifetime in her UFC debut when she gets to battle one of the female MMA goats when she takes on the one and only Cyborg. Spencer, with 7 professional fights to her name, is undefeated with 4 submissions.
Now Cyborg was submitted in her first MMA fight all the way back in 2005 - SO YOU'RE SAYING THERE'S A CHANCE!
But all joking aside expect Cyborg to win and by a stoppage of some kind. There's just a level to women's MMA. It's Nunes, then Cyborg, then everyone else.
Now one approach to UFC 240 odds could be to parlay the two favorites, Holloway (-400) and Cyborg (-600) which would reduce to the lay to 11/5.
PICK: Or in addition to taking Holloway by decision, you may also look to extract value by betting Cyborg by KO/TKO or betting the under in total rounds in the female MMA fight and Over in total rounds in the main event.
Brian Ortega vs Zabit Magomedsharipov
There has been one more explosive fight added to this card as two young phenoms, Zabit Magomedsharipov and Brian Ortega have been slated against one another.
Zabit has opened as a -188 UFC Odds favorite on BET365 and perhaps rightfully so as, Zabit looks to be one of the trickiest innovative fighters we have seen in a long time.
Zabit (17-1) is a very unique individual with the ability to pull many tricks out of his bag winning 6 fights by KO and 7 by submission in his 18 career fights.
However, Brian "T-City" Ortega looks to be offering great value for what seems like a coin flip. And he has shown the ability to pull just as many tricks out of his bag winning 7 contests via submission and 3 by KO in 15 career fights.
This has the potential to be one of the best fights of the year, with one of the competitors offering sneaky value.
PICK: Brian Ortega (+162) on BET365
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