UFC 253 comes packed with fireworks from both inside the octagon and the betting lines as middleweight king Israel Adesanya settles his grudge with the unbeaten destroyer, Paulo Costa. Both fighters are explosive strikers and with ill will all but guaranteeing heated exchanges. Co-headlining are red-hot fighters Dominick Reyes and Jan Blachowicz facing off for the vacant light heavyweight title. Let’s break down these fights and see which bets we can cash.
UFC 249: Plenty to bet on in this mega-sized fight event
The UFC is back with a vengeance with what could be the most stacked card in promotion history with two championship fights headlining. After postponing its last five events, the UFC has overcompensated with a card worthy of the wait. Two title fights headline the event with Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje meeting for the interim lightweight strap as bantamweight champ Henry Cejudo defends against Dominick Cruz. Let’s break down the best bets for this hefty event.
The UFC is back with a vengeance with what could be the most stacked card in promotion history with two championship fights headlining. Let’s look at the current UFC 249 odds (via Bodog):
- Interim lightweight Championship bout: Tony Ferguson (1.56) vs Justin Gaethje (2.50)
- Bantamweight Championship bout: Henry Cejudo (1.45) vs Dominick Cruz (2.80)
After postponing its last five events, the UFC has overcompensated with a card worthy of the wait. Two title fights headline the event with Tony Ferguson and Justin Gaethje meeting for the interim lightweight strap as bantamweight champ Henry Cejudo defends against Dominick Cruz. Let’s break down this hefty event.
UFC 249 key betting stats
- Tony Ferguson has won five of his last nine fights via submission
- 21 of Justin Gaethje’s 23 fights have ended via T/KO
- Henry Cejudo is 6-0 in the UFC when opening as a favourite
- Five of Dominick Cruz’s six UFC fights have gone to decision
- Seven of Francis Ngannou’s UFC wins have come in round one
Let’s break down the best bets for this hefty event.
UFC 249: Best bets
Let’s have a look at the best available bets (UFC 249 betting picks):
Justin Gaethje to win – 2.50
Gaethje has won a performance bonus in each of his six UFC bouts and it’s a testament to the kind of fighter he is. But if you think of him simply as a “just bang bro” type, you’d be mistaken. Since his back-to-back losses, Gaethje has evolved into a more technical fighter even incorporating a bit more defence into his game.
Already packing the division’s most lethal hands, Gaethje adds a wrestling background and newfound technical prowess making him a big sleeper in this fight. True, Ferguson has more tools in his arsenal but Gaethje is tougher, hits harder, and has less to lose.
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) May 4, 2020
At his odds, he is worth a decent-sized bet as he has a realistic shot at stunning both Ferguson and the MMA world.
Henry Cejudo to win – 1.45
In this Mexican-American showdown, expect both Cejudo and Cruz to throw down despite Cruz’s notoriety for “running” during his fights. Cruz can earn a judges’ decision here by confounding Cejudo although Cejudo might be the fighter pushing the fight and earning octagon control points.
Both fighters are durable and pack underrated power, but Cejudo is a bit more well-built than Cruz, who is also coming off a three-year layoff. Cejudo should be able to push the pace and neutralize anything Cruz will do.
Bank on Cejudo to defend his title against the former champion. Though there is no such thing as a “safe bet”, Cejudo might be the surest bet in this fight card.
Anthony Pettis to win 1.69
Simply put, Pettis at 1.69 to beat Donald Cerrone, who he already finished prior, is almost a “gimme”. Don’t ever count out the “Cowboy”, who isn’t the UFC’s all-time leader in victories for nothing. But this is the type of fight where one fighter, Pettis, is just a superior version of the other.
Whether it’s by submission, knockout, or judges’ decision, Pettis should come out victorious in this one again. Book it.
Best UFC 249 props and parlays
Parlay: Calvin Kattar (1.40) and Vicente Luque (1.36) to win (1.90)
Both these guys have something in common: they’re two of their division’s most underrated fighters.
Kattar is a technical striker who has sneaky power and a solid chin. He’s a good match-up against the heavy-handed Stephens as he is lighter on his feet and should outstrike “Lil Heathen.”
Luque was quietly rolling along with the welterweight division until he ran into the Stephen Thompson Rubix Cube. While Price is dangerous, he’s constantly fallen short against upper-tier opponents like Luque. The Brazilian boasts better striking and better jiu-jitsu and should get back on the win column.
Prop: Rozenstruik wins by TKO/KO (5.10)
Rozenstruik finds himself staring at the mountain that is Francis Ngannou: the UFC’s most feared striker. It’s a given that this fight won’t go to decision (1.31) and it could likely end in round 1 (2.20).
— bjpenndotcom (@bjpenndotcom) May 5, 2020
But go the extra mile and take a Hail Mary that Rozenstruik, who has devastating power in his own right, catches Ngannou at 5-1 odds. Wow.
Prop: Waterson wins by decision (2.80)
In her striker versus grappler bout, Waterson is being overlooked by bookies criminally. This is a chance to make them pay by banking on her to upset Esparza and walk away with the decision.
Waterson will defend against an aggressive Esparza, but she’s the bigger and more agile fighter. And her accurate and significant strikes could win the judges over.
Top online sportsbooks for UFC 249 betting
There are plenty of solid online sportsbooks to start UFC 249 betting but we’d recommend going with Bodog or SportsInteraction (SIA). Bodog is one of Canada’s leaders in UFC/MMA betting and they are usually the first to open lines. SIA offers extensive odds with plenty of markets including a strong prop selection.
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Both books offer sign-up bonuses and the occasional promotion. If you can’t make up your mind, split your bankroll to both books. Having more than one book is recommended as it lets you take advantage of each book’s offers and whichever has the better odds.
Category : Online Betting News
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